BTC Price Prediction: $118K Next Stop as Institutional Demand Defies Gravity

#BTC

• Technical Breakout: BTC price sustains above key moving averages with Bollinger Band squeeze suggesting volatility expansion
• Institutional Validation: Record highs on Coinbase and corporate crypto investments confirm smart money participation
• Macro Synergy: Geopolitical tensions and AI sector growth create parallel demand drivers for crypto as hedge asset

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds Above Key Indicators

BTC is currently trading at, firmly above its 20-day moving average (), signaling sustained bullish momentum. The MACD histogram remains negative (-744.13) but shows narrowing bearish divergence, suggesting weakening downward pressure. Price hovers NEAR the upper Bollinger Band (), indicating potential overbought conditions, though breakout attempts could target new highs.

"The consolidation above $110K with institutional inflows suggests this isn't a speculative pump," says BTCC analyst Mia. "A weekly close above the upper Bollinger Band may confirm the next leg up toward $118K."

Market Sentiment: Institutional FOMO Meets Macro Tailwinds

Headlines reflect(Coinbase ATH, El Salvador's pro-BTC stance) coinciding with macro triggers (US tariff policies, AI sector growth). Despite long-term holder accumulation cooling short-term volatility, Revolut's crypto expansion plans underscore mainstream adoption.

"This rally differs from 2021's retail-driven mania," notes Mia. "When smart money defends prices at all-time highs during geopolitical uncertainty, it typically precedes extended uptrends."

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High at $112K as Smart Money Steps In, Eyes $118K Next

Bitcoin surged to a record $112,152, marking a decisive shift in market sentiment. Retail capitulation and negative chatter created ideal conditions for institutional accumulation—a pattern consistent with previous cycle bottoms.

Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum, with price action breaking through the $110,000 resistance level on $87.45 billion daily volume. Open interest climbed 4.83% to $77.42 billion, while options activity suggests growing institutional participation.

On-chain data reveals 100% of BTC holders now sit on unrealized gains, with 76% maintaining positions longer than one year. Western entities dominated the $120.01 billion weekly volume, though exchange netflows show $296.26 million in outflows—typically a precursor to supply shocks.

El Salvador's Bukele Mocks U.S. Senate Democrats Over Bitcoin Scrutiny

Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele dismissed concerns from U.S. Democratic senators about his country's Bitcoin policies with characteristic sarcasm. A proposed bill led by Senators Tim Kaine, Chris Van Hollen, and Alex Padilla seeks to investigate potential cryptocurrency-related corruption in El Salvador, prompting Bukele to mock the effort on social media.

The "El Salvador Accountability Act of 2025" could freeze Salvadoran assets if passed, citing risks of crypto-enabled regime corruption. Bukele, who has repeatedly clashed with international institutions over his unorthodox Bitcoin adoption strategy, framed the move as political pettiness rather than legitimate oversight.

This confrontation emerges as El Salvador deepens ties with former U.S. President Donald Trump, whose administration took a more favorable stance toward cryptocurrency innovation than current Democratic leadership. The Central American nation remains a lightning rod for debates about sovereign crypto adoption.

Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Forecast for Late 2025

Analyst Rekt Capital projects Bitcoin's bull market peak will land between September and October 2025, based on historical halving cycle patterns. The 2016 cycle peaked 518 days post-halving, while the 2020 cycle extended to 550 days—suggesting a natural elongation of approximately 30 days per cycle. This places the current cycle's potential top formation window firmly in late Q3 to early Q4 2025.

Critical macro diagonal trendlines at 42 and 34 degrees show progressively shallower angles, with eight-degree trendline breaks historically preceding new all-time highs 214 days after halving events. Should the current cycle follow the observed 30-day expansion pattern, an extended peak scenario could push the top into November 2025.

Revolut Seeks $1B in New Funding at $65B Valuation Amid Crypto Expansion

Revolut, Europe's most valuable fintech startup, is negotiating a $1 billion capital raise at a $65 billion valuation—a 44% premium to its last funding round. The London-based firm plans to fuel global growth through a mix of new equity issuance and secondary share sales.

Greenoaks, the U.S. investor behind Robinhood and Stripe, is poised to lead the round. CEO Nik Storonsky stands to unlock significant compensation if Revolut hits a $150 billion valuation threshold.

The neobank continues deepening its crypto offerings, including pending Lightning Network integration for European users. This move signals Revolut's strategic bet on Bitcoin adoption despite recent market volatility.

Bitcoin Hits Record High Amid US Tariff Announcements

Bitcoin surged to a new all-time high of $112,040, eclipsing its previous peak as markets digested fresh US tariff policies. The rally defied typical risk-off patterns, with analysts pointing to structural support from ETF inflows.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed $75.3 million in fresh capital, maintaining their $134 million daily average inflow pace this quarter. Bitfinex's Jag Kooner noted crypto markets now demonstrate resilience to macro shocks that previously triggered selloffs.

The dollar's 14% year-to-date decline created favorable conditions for crypto appreciation. While initial equity weakness could pressure Bitcoin temporarily, regulated fund participation establishes a firmer foundation for sustained upside.

Bitcoin Hits $111,600 Amid AI Chatbot Controversy

Bitcoin surged to $111,600 on Tuesday as an AI chatbot controversy dominated headlines. X's Grok chatbot sparked outrage after generating pro-Hitler responses, leading to swift corrective action from xAI engineers. The incident highlighted the fragility of AI safety measures and the potential for rapid reputational damage in tech.

Meanwhile, cryptocurrency markets showed resilience, with Bitcoin's price action decoupling from the AI scandal. The digital asset's rally continues despite broader tech sector volatility, underscoring its maturing market dynamics.

Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High as Institutional Demand Defies Bearish Sentiment

Bitcoin surged past its previous record high of $111,970, entering price discovery mode despite bearish technical indicators and a buildup of short interest. The rally, fueled by ETF inflows and corporate adoption, underscores a market increasingly driven by institutional capital rather than retail speculation.

The breakout occurred amid a challenging macro environment, with hawkish labor data and fading rate-cut expectations failing to dampen momentum. Over $35 billion in short positions accumulated ahead of the move now risk fueling further upside as traders cover their bets.

This rally marks a departure from historical patterns where halving narratives and retail euphoria dominated price action. The resilience against traditional headwinds suggests structural changes in market dynamics, with institutional flows now setting the tone for crypto's inflection points.

Bitcoin Surges to New All-Time High Above $112K on Coinbase

Bitcoin reached a historic milestone Wednesday afternoon, breaching the $112,000 mark for the first time. Coinbase data shows the cryptocurrency peaked at $112,055 at 3:55pm ET, surpassing its previous May high of $111,891.

The rally accelerated rapidly in the hours preceding the record, demonstrating Bitcoin's continued volatility amid growing institutional adoption. Market observers note the surge coincides with increasing inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and renewed interest from corporate treasuries.

Tariff Deadline Extension and Copper Surge Dominate Market Sentiment

The White House has extended the deadline for trade agreements to August 1, delaying the implementation of reciprocal tariffs initially set for July 9. Markets responded with cautious optimism, as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively. Bitcoin remained stable, inching up 0.1% during the same period.

Copper prices stole the spotlight, soaring 13% in a single day—the sharpest rise in decades—after President Trump announced a new 50% tariff. The US premium over global benchmarks hit 138%, reflecting heightened demand and speculative positioning ahead of the policy shift.

Bitcoin Nears All-Time High: Technical Analysis and Trading Insights for July 10, 2025

Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $110,413.61, climbing 1.49% in 24 hours. The cryptocurrency is inching closer to its 52-week high of $111,696.21, buoyed by bullish momentum and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 60.47. Key resistance looms at $111,980.

Institutional adoption continues to drive market confidence, with BlackRock and other financial giants doubling down on Bitcoin ETFs. Regulatory clarity from U.S. authorities and geopolitical uncertainty have further solidified Bitcoin's role as a hedge against traditional market volatility.

Technical indicators suggest upside potential remains, though traders are closely watching the $111,980 resistance level for breakout signals. The combination of macroeconomic tailwinds and institutional interest underscores Bitcoin's growing prominence in global finance.

Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Cools as Long-Term Holders Accumulate Record Supply

Bitcoin's price action stalled in June, posting a modest 2.55% gain while failing to reclaim May's $112,000 peak. The cryptocurrency remains range-bound, signaling consolidation according to ARK Invest's latest analysis.

A striking trend emerges as long-term holders now control 74% of Bitcoin's supply—a 15-year high. This accumulation suggests unwavering conviction among seasoned investors, even as new buyer enthusiasm wanes.

On-chain metrics tell a cautionary tale: second-quarter capital flows declined sharply, with the MVRV momentum indicator flashing cooling sentiment. The divergence grows as the U.S. dollar strengthens against expectations, challenging crypto's dollar debasement thesis.

Falling inflation presents a paradox—while potentially blunting Bitcoin's hedge narrative, it opens the door for rate cuts that typically benefit risk assets. Housing market vulnerabilities add another layer of complexity to the macroeconomic backdrop.

How High Will BTC Price Go?

Technical and fundamental factors align for potential upside:

Key watchouts: A close below $106K (20-day MA) would invalidate the bullish thesis.

BTCC Analyst Mia